Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),
To win the 2024 election as an impartial, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is firstly hoping for an outright win, however the second path to victory is to ensure no different candidate wins 270 electoral votes.
If no candidate reaches 270 electoral votes in a presidential election, the winner is set in a contingent election by the Home of Representatives, the place every state votes as a bloc.
The Home has picked the president twice in American historical past.
In 1800, Aaron Burr and Thomas Jefferson had been deadlocked after the electoral votes had been counted. The Home forged their ballots to elect President Jefferson, who acquired 61 % of the favored vote.
When not one of the 4 presidential candidates acquired an electoral vote majority in 1824, the Home elected John Quincy Adams on Feb. 9 the next yr.
“Individuals are beginning to notice that Bobby can win, with the place he’s within the polls,” Amaryllis Fox Kennedy, the marketing campaign supervisor of Mr. Kennedy, informed The Epoch Occasions.
“They’re beginning to see that, for the primary time of their lifetime, the two-party system could be damaged and so they can vote for any person who excites them quite than having to vote for the lesser of two evils,” she stated. Ms. Kennedy can also be the candidate’s daughter-in-law.
Ms. Kennedy stated Mr. Kennedy may very well be thought of a most popular candidate over former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, the possible Republican and Democrat nominees.
The prospect of Mr. Kennedy successful as a compromise candidate is comparatively slim as a result of a contingent United States election is set by state delegations. Republicans at present maintain a four-vote delegation lead, in line with a tally maintained by ProPublica.
The subsequent Home of Representatives, composed of lawmakers elected in 2024, would vote in a contingent election. A consensus forecast by 270toWin based mostly on an combination of forecasts by 5 main analytics companies sees Republicans holding their delegation majority within the Home in 2024.
Few impartial and third-party candidates have received electoral votes. In 1912, former President Theodore Roosevelt ran as an impartial in opposition to his former protégé, President William Howard Taft, after failing to win the Republican nomination.
President Roosevelt carried eight states and gained 27 % of the favored vote however received simply 88 electoral votes in comparison with Democrat Woodrow Wilson’s 435.
Impartial candidate and former Alabama Gov. George Wallace received 5 states in 1968. He wanted to prevail in just one extra state with 10 or extra electors to stop Richard Nixon from an Electoral Faculty majority.
In 1992, Ross Perot captured round 19 % of the favored vote, received a number of counties, and positioned second in two states, however he didn’t safe electoral votes in a race received by Invoice Clinton over President George H.W. Bush.
Brian Seitchik, a Republican strategist and former Trump marketing campaign employees member, informed The Epoch Occasions that the technique to seize sufficient electoral votes to ship the presidential election to the Home is “absurd.”
“It was talked about in 1992 when Ross Perot was operating. It was talked about when George Wallace was on the poll a few years in the past,” Mr. Sietchik stated.
“It’s a fantasy that Republican nerds like to speak about—similar to they like to speak a few brokered conference. We haven’t had a brokered conference for the reason that Nineteen Sixties, so these are simply kind of political fantasies.”
David Carlucci, a former New York state senator and a Democrat strategist, informed The Epoch Occasions that Mr. Kennedy faces a “daunting problem” to get electoral votes.
“No matter your political affiliation—Democrat, Republican, or Impartial—it’s plain that the Electoral Faculty poses challenges to an impartial candidate. The technique of successful states necessitates a exact marketing campaign centered on particular demographics, leaving little room for candidates like RFK Jr. to affect secure pink and blue states, which represent the bulk,” Mr. Carlucci stated
“With fewer than 10 swing states, an impartial candidate faces an uphill battle in opposition to the focused efforts of Democrats and Republicans in these essential areas,” he stated.
Mr. Kennedy is touring the nation to personal fundraising occasions and rallies designed to gather signatures to get him on the poll in all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
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