High crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen says that historic precedent makes it probably that Bitcoin’s (BTC) newest rally will result in a dramatic correction earlier than the true bull market kicks off.
In a brand new interview with Crypto Banter, Cowen says that the rationale Bitcoin is presently rallying will not be as a result of new capital is coming into the house and elevating costs.
As an alternative, the analyst argues that Bitcoin goes up as a result of merchants are changing their altcoins, that are additional out the danger curve, into BTC. Cowen says that finally, liquidity from altcoins will dry up, and Bitcoin will not have purchase strain to maintain its rally.
The intently adopted analyst says he’s anticipating BTC to finally get rejected at one in every of its close by resistance ranges earlier than promoting off and bringing altcoins down with it.
“Bitcoin normally has a reasonably vital sell-off someday earlier than the halving. I imply perhaps it occurs after the halving, I don’t know.
However the cause it occurs, for my part, is as a result of liquidity has gone. So I believe the rationale Bitcoin goes up proper now, it’s not as a result of new cash is coming into the house, as a result of if new cash was coming into the house… wouldn’t the overall market cap have gone greater?
So the overall market cap has stayed the identical. The explanation Bitcoin goes up is as a result of individuals are changing their altcoins to Bitcoin, and that’s why Bitcoin dominance goes up. However the problem is, sooner or later, all that liquidity within the altcoin market has been bled dry, so there’s simply no liquidity left in altcoins to purchase Bitcoin.
After which when that occurs, when Bitcoin goes right into a risk-off setting once more, and all this prior cash that was sitting within the altcoin market that was there to scoop up ‘low-cost Bitcoin,’ that cash is gone and there’s not a bid.
There’s not a bid for Bitcoin after which Bitcoin drops, it crushes the altcoin market, after which after that, after that ultimate drop by Bitcoin, over the subsequent three to 6 months you’d really altcoins to outperform. However proper now we’re nonetheless within the part the place alts are bleeding to Bitcoin, and sooner or later, we roll over and Bitocin crushes the altcoin market.”
At time of writing, BTC is buying and selling at $30,734
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