One factor to observe: BHP chief government Mike Henry met authorities officers in South Africa final week, fuelling hypothesis that the Australian miner will resurrect its failed £39bn bid for Johannesburg-based rival Anglo American.
And an enormous potential tech tie-up: Uber has explored a doable bid for Expedia, the almost $20bn US journey reserving web site, in what could be the ride-hailing firm’s largest acquisition by far because it appears to diversify additional and discover new avenues for development.
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In at this time’s publication:
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Elliott makes use of podcast to agitate at Southwest Airways
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Non-public fairness secondary offers surge
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The within story at battery start-up Northvolt
Even Elliott’s activist marketing campaign has a podcast
“I’m going to take you thru one thing we’ve by no means completed earlier than. We’re making a podcast.”
For months, activist hedge fund Elliott Administration has known as for Southwest Airways chief government Bob Jordan to resign in a gentle drumbeat of press releases, slide shows and updates to its web site, StrongerSouthwest.com.
Now, in a transfer DD believes is as cringeworthy as Kamala Harris contemplating showing on Joe Rogan, Elliott has added the Stronger Southwest podcast to its arsenal.
A member of the Elliott engagement and funding stewardship group — a bunch expert in utilizing the attraction offensive for index funds similar to Vanguard, BlackRock and State Road — interviewed one in all Elliott’s handpicked administrators in a slick, extremely produced 20-minute episode.
However Elliott’s Bri Scholtz may use some work avoiding analyst communicate. (Interviewee and board candidate Gregg Saretsky was requested to “double click on” on his time spent as CEO of airline WestJet.)
Saretsky struck a soft chord when requested what Southwest staff tuning in ought to take away from the pod.
“It’s a message of hope,” he stated. “Staff are going to be sceptical, perhaps even fearful or have some nervousness. And my recommendation to them was, simply hold an open thoughts and go alongside for the trip.”
That’s in sharp distinction to the venom portfolio managers John Pike and Bobby Xu have saved for his or her letters. The corporate’s course is “being charted in a haphazard manner by a bunch of executives in full self-preservation mode”, the 2 wrote in September.
Elliott has made it clear it’s on observe for its first proxy battle since 2017. Which means a full-blown battle for management of the corporate’s board — and the chief government position.
We’ll want to attend for an additional episode to see the place it stacks up towards the podcasts of Apollo’s chief economist (The View from Apollo) and the legal professionals at Sullivan & Cromwell (S&C Essential Insights).
Listeners will be capable to comply with the newest undulations of the Elliott marketing campaign on Spotify, Apple and wherever else you get your podcasts.
Non-public fairness checks out of Lodge California
The $4tn non-public fairness sector has set itself aside lately for its asset-gathering capability — its funding efficiency, not a lot.
As international inventory markets hit report highs, the standard PE fund has hobbled alongside since early 2022. The surge in rates of interest seized up deal markets whereas pummelling leveraged stability sheets.
Fortunately for PE traders, the business has discovered new methods to money out traders who’re searching for exits.
So-called secondary offers, wherein traders in non-public fairness funds promote their stakes to new traders for money, or a PE agency arranges the sale of an organization stake to a brand new fund, are anticipated to smash all-time data.
Matt Swain, an government at funding financial institution Houlihan Lokey, predicts a record-breaking $150bn of gross sales — a rise of greater than 25 per cent from 2023, which shatters a earlier report of $132bn in offers in 2021.
The deal bonanza is being backed by a bunch of secondary consumers together with Ardian, Hamilton Lane, StepStone Group and Lexington Companions.
Most important line non-public capital giants are additionally getting in on the act. Blackstone, Apollo and KKR are among the many teams which might be elevating cash for secondary offers utilizing autos concentrating on wealthy people, or so-called “retail” traders.
Many of those funds can e book fast positive factors shopping for PE fund stakes at a reduction and marking them to par worth, a GAAP accounting conference that may assist them set up a strong early observe report.
Gross sales of PE stakes, which 18 months in the past fetched 80 cents on the greenback or much less, in keeping with individuals aware of the gross sales, are actually between 93 cents and 98 cents, in keeping with PJT Companions.
“Provide is at an all-time excessive, however pricing is at a number of the highest ranges it has been throughout the board. There’s extra capital coming into the market,” stated Darren Schluter, a managing director who handles secondary offers at PJT.
What’s gone incorrect with Europe’s best-funded start-up?
Northvolt, the Swedish battery maker, is preventing for its life regardless of having raised about $15bn in debt and fairness from the likes of Goldman Sachs, Volkswagen, Citigroup, BNP Paribas and Deutsche Financial institution.
So what went incorrect? The FT’s Richard Milne, Jamie John and Mari Novik spoke to 10 present and former staff on the firm meant to be Europe’s nice hope in preventing again towards the Chinese language teams that dominate the battery business.
The reply: lots. Mismanagement, poor security requirements and problematic Chinese language equipment are simply a number of the issues they stated have been dogging the corporate.
A few of these are typical troubles for a start-up. However Northvolt is a distinct beast from many younger corporations in tech which might be run on a bootstrap.
Whilst the corporate grew at a blistering tempo, manufacturing couldn’t sustain.
It spent closely on gear, however has produced comparatively few batteries, final 12 months making lower than 1 per cent of the capability of its sole manufacturing facility in Skellefteå in northern Sweden.
For all the cash it has raised — together with $3.8bn in subsidies from Canada and Germany for factories but to be constructed — Northvolt wants recent capital to maintain working. It initially tried to lift about $7bn in a combination of fairness and debt this 12 months however has now scaled again its demand reportedly to simply $200mn.
Northvolt stated it had “at all times underlined that build up a European battery cell panorama is likely one of the most complicated duties in business at this time”. It stated a current strategic assessment would “additional enhance give attention to cell manufacturing”, and it had strengthened its administration group.
“We clearly see optimistic developments, and can proceed to enhance,” it added. The group additionally stated it “has to fulfill highest security requirements by regulation”.
Executives promote the corporate as important if Europe needs to maintain essential auto expertise on the continent slightly than changing into extra depending on China.
However traders must resolve whether or not to danger pouring more cash into an organization the place staff describe a litany of issues.
Main European corporations concerned within the inexperienced transition might be trying on anxiously to see the way it all pans out.
Job strikes
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Goldman Sachs’ chief government for Saudi Arabia, Khalid Albdah, is leaving the firm, Bloomberg studies. He beforehand labored at Al Rajhi Capital.
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IBM has employed Neil Dhar, the previous co-head of PwC’s US consulting enterprise, as international managing accomplice of IBM Consulting. Dhar retired earlier this month after greater than three many years advising shoppers, together with non-public fairness companies, similar to Blackstone.
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Boutique funding financial institution LionTree has employed Ankur Luther as a managing director to give attention to tech, leisure and media. He beforehand labored at Morgan Stanley.
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Skadden has employed Luke Ferrandino as chief enterprise improvement and advertising and marketing officer. He beforehand held the same place at Paul Weiss.
Good reads
Harvard guru Wealthy mother and father pays virtually something to get their children into an Ivy League faculty, The Wall Road Journal writes. A 29-year-old claims to have cracked the code to moving into the faculties — and has made a $554mn firm within the course of.
Rein it in Saudi Arabia has spent lavishly on a grand imaginative and prescient to modernise the dominion with infrastructure tasks all through the nation, the FT studies. However now, there could be a necessity for prudence.
Suggestions pitfalls The 360-degree efficiency assessment is a trademark on Wall Road this time of 12 months, FT Alphaville writes. It’s additionally simply gamed and often undermined.
Information round-up
Introduction Worldwide prepares takeover bid for Tate & Lyle (FT)
Wall Road banks get pleasure from bumper charges as debt issuance and offers exercise rebound (FT)
BHP chief sparks recent Anglo bid hypothesis after South Africa journey (FT)
Starmer and Reeves face down cupboard revolt over spending cuts (FT)
Amazon buys stake in nuclear power developer in push to energy knowledge centres (FT)
GM raises funding in lithium mine to just about $1bn (FT)
London Underground staff to strike over pay (FT)
Due Diligence is written by Arash Massoudi, Ivan Levingston, Ortenca Aliaj, and Robert Smith in London, James Fontanella-Khan, Sujeet Indap, Eric Platt, Antoine Gara, Amelia Pollard and Maria Heeter in New York, Kaye Wiggins in Hong Kong, George Hammond and Tabby Kinder in San Francisco, and Javier Espinoza in Brussels. Please ship suggestions to due.diligence@ft.com